EU Enlargement: Support Balances on Clear Guarantees, Ukraine's Entry Backed by Solidarity
Public opinion on EU enlargement remains delicate, with support liable to waver if citizens feel left in the dark, ignored, or economically threatened. However, clear guarantees can alleviate many concerns. Meanwhile, Ukraine's EU entry has found stronger backing, driven by wartime solidarity.
A fragile balance exists regarding EU enlargement. Citizens' approval can erode swiftly if they feel uninformed or economically vulnerable. Yet, credible guarantees, such as safeguarding existing benefits and phasing access for new entrants, can significantly ease anxieties. Notably, no prominent voices in 2023 raised concerns about social protection due to candidate states' admission, nor did they influence Ukraine's accession talks.
Support for Ukraine's EU entry has been robust, fueled by solidarity during the conflict. However, candidate countries' economies lag far behind the EU average, necessitating substantial resource transfers. Engaging public support is crucial, as it can swiftly turn against accession if not meaningfully addressed. Fears about costs and migration related to enlargement can be mitigated by credible assurances. As of early 2025, EU citizens' support for enlargement remained cautiously positive, with half endorsing the current agenda.
Public support is vital for EU enlargement, and it can shift sharply if not engaged effectively. Credible guarantees on national benefits can allay fears about costs and migration. Ann-Kathrin Reinl emphasizes the importance of welfare security for maintaining public support of EU enlargement.
